← 2025 World Championships

Wind Luxem ZanderTier 2

at 2025 World Championships

decks
5 (15.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
37 13-24-0
overall winrate
35.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
29.5% avg ELO -7.3 per match
expected value
41.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
37.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1554 · median 1528 · range 1423–1736 (5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1200 Q1 1464 Q3 1634 1750
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Genbu 21.9% 7 3-4-0 42.9% 45.5% 41.1% -4.5
Water Fractal 15.6% 8 2-6-0 25.0% 33.3% 28.3% -10.4
Fire Aggro 12.5% 5 1-4-0 20.0% 33.3% 28.9% -12.2
Wind Shadowstrike 12.5% 5 3-2-0 60.0% 55.6% 53.7% +2.1
Wind Astra Cleric 9.4% 5 2-3-0 40.0% 44.4% 43.2% -3.9
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.2% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 18.0% -23.9
Water Allies 3.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.7% -0.3
Wind Allies 3.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 43.4% -6.4
Decklists · 5 from this event

The 5 public Wind Luxem Zander decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 17 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Cleansing Reunion -1.00 0 2 0
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 2 0
Beseech the Winds +1.00 2 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 2 0
Winbless Lookout -1.00 0 2 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 2 0 0
Scout the Land -0.50 0 1 1
Heavenly Guide +0.50 1 0 1
Slice and Dice -0.50 0 1 1
Gleaming Cut +0.50 1 0 1
Eternal Magistrate -0.50 0 1 0
Swift Recruit +0.50 1 0 1
Incapacitate -0.50 0 1 1
Temporal Spectrometer +0.50 1 0 1
Scatter Essence +0.50 1 0 1
Censer of Restful Peace -0.50 0 1 0
Innervate Agility -0.50 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/27982/archetypes/Wind Luxem Zander